US farmers beg Trump to stop the trade war and save American farming. But it’s already too late.
American soybean farmers are realizing industry-wide losses, as crop prices fall and farm expenses soar.
China is the number one export destination for US soybeans. But China recently slapped 10% tariffs of US soybean imports in retaliation for President Trump’s tariffs on Chinese goods.
Farmers are urging Trump to reverse course and make a trade deal with China, and thereby restore their markets. But Chinese soybean buyers were already moving away from US sources, and replacing US beans with Brazil’s.
Across all the major crops, BRICS countries are both supplying and consuming half the world’s grains, and doing so outside our commodities exchanges, and at lower prices. Even were the tariffs to go away, the BRICS grain exchanges and China’s own self-sufficiency drives will permanently eliminate most of the G7’s export markets.
Closing scene, Sichuan Highway
Resources and links:
Analyzing Farm Inputs: The Cost to Farm Keeps Rising
The United States, Brazil, and China Soybean Triangle: A 20-Year Analysis
Iโm a Soybean Farmer Who Voted for Trump. Iโm Begging the President to End the Trade War.
Reuters, China has delayed or redirected 600,000 tons of wheat imports, sources say
Reuters, Global wheat import demand dented by local output, economic woes
Who Will Step in to Plug the Wheat Supply Gap?
Wheat Market Outlook and Prices
Reuters, China’s 10-year initiative aims for a more secure food supply by 2035
Russia will target expanded BRICS for grain exports
Finviz, Soybean futures since 1 May 2022 to present
Reuters, US wheat exports to China collapse, fully replaced by Russian
Reuters, China agricultural stocks surge amid escalating trade war with US
SCMP, China hits back at Trump with reciprocal tariffs, sanctions of US firms
Will the BRICS Grain Exchange Mean Deeper Integration?
Reuters, Trade quarrels to boost Russia-China agricultural trade, lobbies and analysts say
China accelerates efforts to boost crop yields, ensure food security
For video transcript and direct links, please visit https://kdwalmsley.substack.com/p/us-farmers-beg-trump-to-stop-the?sd=pf
For China factory sourcing and community updates: https://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=61552512920779
Closing scene, Sichuan Highway
Resources and links:
Analyzing Farm Inputs: The Cost to Farm Keeps Rising
https://www.fb.org/market-intel/analyzing-farm-inputs-the-cost-to-farm-keeps-rising
The United States, Brazil, and China Soybean Triangle: A 20-Year Analysis
https://farmdocdaily.illinois.edu/2024/02/the-united-states-brazil-and-china-soybean-triangle-a-20-year-analysis.html
Iโm a Soybean Farmer Who Voted for Trump. Iโm Begging the President to End the Trade War.
https://www.thefp.com/p/im-a-soybean-farmer-who-voted-for
Reuters, China has delayed or redirected 600,000 tons of wheat imports, sources say
https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/china-has-delayed-or-redirected-600000-tons-wheat-imports-sources-say-2025-02-05/
Reuters, Global wheat import demand dented by local output, economic woes
https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/global-wheat-import-demand-dented-by-local-output-economic-woes-2025-02-07/
Who Will Step in to Plug the Wheat Supply Gap?
https://www.czapp.com/analyst-insights/global-wheat-stocks-hit-10-year-low/
Wheat Market Outlook and Prices
https://saskwheat.ca/wheat-market-outlook/wheat-market-outlook-april-7-2025/
Reuters, China's 10-year initiative aims for a more secure food supply by 2035
https://www.reuters.com/world/china/chinas-10-year-initiative-aims-more-secure-food-supply-by-2035-2025-04-07/
Russia will target expanded BRICS for grain exports
https://www.emerald.com/insight/content/doi/10.1108/oxan-db287099/full/html
Finviz, Soybean futures since 1 May 2022 to present
https://finviz.com/futures_charts.ashx?t=ZS&p=w&r=range_05-01-2022x
Reuters, US wheat exports to China collapse, fully replaced by Russian
https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/trade-quarrels-boost-russia-china-agricultural-trade-lobbies-analysts-say-2025-03-13/
Reuters, China agricultural stocks surge amid escalating trade war with US
https://www.reuters.com/markets/asia/china-agricultural-stocks-surge-amid-escalating-trade-war-with-us-2025-04-08/
SCMP, China hits back at Trump with reciprocal tariffs, sanctions of US firms
https://www.scmp.com/economy/global-economy/article/3300948/china-hits-back-trump-reciprocal-tariffs-sanctions-us-firms?module=top_story&pgtype=homepage
Will the BRICS Grain Exchange Mean Deeper Integration?
https://russiancouncil.ru/en/analytics-and-comments/analytics/will-the-brics-grain-exchange-mean-deeper-integration/
Reuters, Trade quarrels to boost Russia-China agricultural trade, lobbies and analysts say
https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/trade-quarrels-boost-russia-china-agricultural-trade-lobbies-analysts-say-2025-03-13/
China accelerates efforts to boost crop yields, ensure food security
https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/china-accelerates-efforts-boost-crop-yields-ensure-food-security-2025-01-09/
Any O how tariff regardless your customer can go to other supplier is only shooting your own foot
It's the plan — drive small farms out of business, let giant agribusiness buy them out at fire sale prices.
Soy beans are at 145% now
Gift from trump
It seems that China's investment in a new port in Peru and freight rail system between Peru and Brazil might be paying off.
The bailouy is already built-in.. Trump isvery comfortanle with bailiuts as its not his money.
Trump seems to be confident he can repair sino purchases of SB/wheat when he finally sits down wi shi, but it is already too late.
Every opportunity a country has to trade should nit be missedโฆ and protection of farms is something we do in Canadaโฆ itโs goal should be to even out the peaks and valleysโฆ I fear that subsidies and tariffs often weaken the industryโฆ but somehow we all need to try to minimize increases in prices and look for savings that can benefit the industryโฆ the whole world has to adopt a policy of cushioning industry from gigantic instability. Itโs an ongoing struggleโฆ but we canโt give up because the strength of the industry is how much security we gain with any bumper crops, and we want to stabilize access to food for the neediest of countries tooโฆthe war in Ukraine has not been a good thing forfood security either.
Bill Gates will buy more farm land.
60% of US Soy beans are exported. China is importing 50%. 30% of US soy bean farmers are at risk.
Also import prices from BAYER and BASF will rise.
These infos were needed last year! Sorry for them
NO! NO! NO!!!! NOT ONE PENNY FOR FARMERS!! THEY VOTED FOR TRUMP, THEY KNEW ABOUT TARIFFS, NO WELFARE QUEENS ON TRACTORS!!!
What Europe and US didnโt understand is that BRICS countries will be the biggest and strongest markets in the next 10 years or less.
What Europe and US didnโt understand is that BRICS countries will be the biggest and strongest markets in the next 10 years or less.
Have no pity for these racist farmers…..
US should donate the food to the hungry in Gaza
Thank you
Consequences. Consequences ๐๐๐๐๐
Farmers will get massive bailouts again. No worry.
China should look to other markets to buy its soya beans. China has no obligation to save USA soya bean farmers. If they cant compete in Trump's tarriff environment then let them fail; that's Trump's world.
If you check China's imports, they import the most soybeans from Brazil, pork from Spain and the Netherlands (EU),beef from Brazil and Argentina (South America), ore and coal from Australia, dairy from New Zealand and the Netherlands. The US share will be replaced even these countries increase their production a little bit.
All China needs to do is to help Brazil to grow their middle class, US market does not matter too much anymore. Same for Africa and Asean countries. China dominance is on the wall.
Said the bald Chinese propagandist., jeez, can you get more obvious? I doubt it.
Why are they begging him or are you just spouting wishful thinking. Farmers have nothing to worry about Trump will give them aid. Middle and lower income people will pay for it on their taxes.
Farmers will get bailed out by Trump. He already did it his prior term.
A lot of intelligent discussion in the comments section. Nice!
No bailouts to the socialist farmers of America to offset the Trump tariffs .
Grow something we want domestically.
HELLO. You people don't know what you are talking about. Soybean and corn prices have risen since the tariffs began. Farmers are in the midst of getting. $10 billion dollar bail out right now.
The tariffs are not the reason. Brazil is the reason. They are cutting down the rain forest and producing way more soybeans and corn than the world can use. Right now soybean inventories are almost at a years worth of world demand. Brazil is busy harvesting more right now. This is the off-season for USA exports. No one has been affected yet.
I swear people. Stop listening to morons like this and do your own research. I am a farmer and know what the hell is going on. It's my business to know.
Love these videos but can I say the shape of your mic is a bit suspicious! :)
and they won't grow hemp because Jesus says is bad
China can buy soybean from many other countries. Stay away from the bully land. ๐
Come to the Eastern Hemisphere and see how far behind you are, duh-merican ignoramuses
this morning saw that the next one is coming. shipping port fees. U cant make this stuff up!
I was watching a clip from bc cn (reverse) with some high manager from some shipping company saying they will go banktupt becoz they cant afford those fees…insanitycracy is here.
any shipping company that has 1 ship made in china, even if they do not use that ship for shipping in america are going to be taxed by tonnage of cargo.
Still I think voting for Trump was a right decision because it reduced my fears of a nuclear war. But the times are tough and get to worse in the US.
With a sรบper plus soy production why not to develop an eco- friendly energy source..
Great video
In 2024, The number of STEM undergraduate students in China stands at 7.7 million, while in the United States it is 2.2 million, of which 700,000 are international students. And a large part of this 700,000 came from China.
2024, China's total power generation was twice that of the United States. And China's industrial electricity consumption was 6 times that of the United States.
China shipbuilding ccapacity is 280 times that of the United States.
China's production capacity in almost all metals exceeds that of all other countries in the world combined.
China's control over rare earth metals is 100%. These rare earth metals are vital to advanced electronic equipment, semiconductors and defense industry. Simply put, there would be no high-end chips without rare earth metals.
I don't know who will win the trade war, I just don't know how China could lose.
If we want to talk about industries related to modern warfare, such as chemical, explosives. machinery, heavy industry and other related production capacity, China has even greater advantages, I won't discuss it in detail here.
One example, in 2015, China produced 500,000 excavators.
There is no much difference between producing an excavator and producing a tank.
Russia, which is fighting the entire NATO arsenal right now, has only 12,000 tanks.
The world needs peace. Don't turn China into your enemy for some nonsense. Mr Trump.
The thing is, stopping the war that donny started probably wont help much. The WORLD is reorganising to bypass US.
How come I feel no empathy for red states american soybean farmers? I should though, but I'm canadian.
The crazy part of this is that US farmers been thete before, during Trumps first team. Becayse of the then Tariff war, the US farm industry occured losses of up 28 billion US dollars and needed to be bsiled out.
Yet these sane farmers voted for Trump a second time hoping for a different outcome even thought Trump 2.0 told the eirld that he would place even higher tariffs on China than the last time.
At so.e point, the US voter has to take responsibility for their political choices.
Well american farmers lose our support then.
So I guess these struggling US soybean farmers will end up selling their farms to the likes of Bill Gates. THAT is another problem of US agriculture. Perhaps the unemployed will be coerced to work on Gates' latifundia dotted throughout the US where work really does set you free.
I'm not a farmer but, why stay in soybeans? Why not get out and farm something else?
I truly feel sorry for the American people who are paying the price for these irresponsible psychopath policies. The US is host to a mafia that does not care about the people.
Already forgotten Trump' first term failure with tariffs on imports from China in 2018.
China retaliated in stopping soybean purchases from USA, Trump' government spent then some 30 billion to compensation for farmers losses.
This time Trump' worldwide trade war will cost much more – to the USA including the farmers.
Especially is much better prepared for this trade war.
Maybe the real goal is to bankrupt US farmers so that globalists can buy their farms for pennies?